HigherPie’s ‘Deep Inside Nevada’s EV Numbers v10.0 – Bravo, Nevada!’

As implied, here is HigherPie’s final installment on early voting n Nevada, but first I would like to note their observation about EV in Nevada.

First, Clark County is an absolute model for what every county and state in the country should do with early voting. (…) So, why don’t we all have Clark County’s early vote system? No, really. Why don’t we? I think we should.


And now, just because we can, not only graphics, but graphics displaying data. Mmm, data…

Deep Inside Nevada’s EV Numbers v10.0 – Bravo, Nevada! [dKos]
I feel like my firstborn is moving out of the house and going to college. It’s over. Early voting is all over.

I started this diary series a couple of weeks ago in the hopes that, day by day, I’d be able to point to the numbers and say, “Look! We’re doing better than 2004!” I thought I’d find places where Democrats had marginally higher turnout, or where Republicans appeared to have marginally worse enthusiasm compared to previous elections.

But that’s not what has happened. Instead, I’ve been able to point to the numbers and say, “It ain’t over of course, but right now, we’re blowing this thing wide open. It isn’t even close.”

And it isn’t. Something like 60% of the people who will vote in Nevada have already voted, and unless some inexplicable and unlikely swarm of both Democrats and Independents have jumped on the McSame Express, Barack Obama is up big with possession of the ball heading into the fourth quarter. More sports metaphors available upon request. (more)

You know the tune! All together now, I’m dreaming of a blue Ne-vaaaa-da! Just like the one’s I’ve never known (at least not since 1996). OK, gotta work on the rhyming, but you get the gist.

[this post has been edited because I have apparently lost the ability to spell]

Gambly and Whorish

You say that like it’s a bad thing. 😉

Nate Silver, who does FiveThirtyEight.Com, weighs in on Nevada in his series Road to 270: Nevada.

In addition, over at dKos, HigherPie spins the penultimate entry in the series on early voting in Nevada.

Deep Inside Nevada’s EV Numbers v9.0 – One Day Left
Well here we are. Just four days until Election Day, and only one day left for Nevadans to vote early.

The penultimate day of early voting saw most trends we’ve been chronicling continue, including the “lots and lots of people voted again today” trend.

It’s Barack the Inspirer versus John the Defiler, live in the Silver State, round 9!
Tomorrow is the final day of early voting in Nevada. I have a huge, mega-party diary planned, so be sure to find it at around 11pm tomorrow night [that’s 10/31 — ed.].

Top 5 Reasons Obama Supporters Shouldn’t Rest Easy

Yep, this is ultimately from Move On[dot]Org.

If you’re an Obama supporter, watching the polls or reading the news can feel pretty good right now. And we should feel good—progressives have worked hard to get this far!

But we can’t listen to the pundits who say it’s over. Can you share these “Top 5 reasons Obama supporters shouldn’t rest easy” with your blog readers—and encourage them to volunteer for Obama between now and Election Day?


1. The polls may be wrong. This is an unprecedented election. No one knows how racism may affect what voters tell pollsters—or what they do in the voting booth. And the polls are narrowing anyway. In the last few days, John McCain has gained ground in most national polls, as his campaign has gone even more negative.

2. Dirty tricks. Republicans are already illegally purging voters from the rolls in some states. They’re whipping up hysteria over ACORN to justify more challenges to new voters. Misleading flyers about the voting process have started appearing in black neighborhoods. And of course, many counties still use unsecure voting machines.

3. October surprise. In politics, 15 days is a long time. The next McCain smear could dominate the news for a week. There could be a crisis with Iran, or Bin Laden could release another tape, or worse.

4. Those who forget history… In 2000, Al Gore won the popular vote after trailing by seven points in the final days of the race. In 1980, Reagan was eight points down in the polls in late October and came back to win. Races can shift—fast!

5. Landslide. Even with Barack Obama in the White House, passing universal health care and a new clean-energy policy is going to be hard. Insurance, drug and oil companies will fight us every step of the way. We need the kind of landslide that will give Barack a huge mandate.

If you agree that we shouldn’t rest easy, please sign up to volunteer at your local Obama office by clicking here.

Early Voting in Nevada, I Can Does it

Nevada has early voting, so I look Ian with me and cast my vote in the 2008 election. I let Ian press the button in the Presidential race. I thought it might be nice for him to remember voting for Obama’s first term as President… 😉

Remember, vote early and vote often!

Perhaps not the finest LOL Cat, but there you go.

Thom Hartmann Comments

Saw these over at Thom Hartmann’s blog

Reclaiming the Issues: Bring Back the Elites

MSNBC’s Chris Matthews Friday suggested that Barack Obama is “elite” in part because Obama was wearing sunglasses:

Can Barack Obama, a man of elite education if not elite background,break into the middle class and talk regular? Can he talk to regular people in their kitchens tonight, in their living rooms?


Everybody thinks Barack is too cool. In other words, there he is with the shades, getting on the plane. A little bit too elegant, a little bit too proud of his own bearing. Is that a problem, that he’s just too cool for words. In other words, elite.

Chris Matthews is wrong. [more]


How Wall Street Can Bail Itself Out Without Destroying The Dollar

For Grover “Drown Government In The Bathtub” Norquist, this bailout deal will work out very well. At a proposed cost of $4,780 per taxpayer, it’ll further the David Stockman strategy of so indebting us that the next president won’t have the luxury of even thinking of new social spending (expanding health care, social security, education, infrastructure, etc.); taxes will even have to be raised just to pay for the bailout. It’ll debase our currency, driving up commodity prices and interest rates, which will benefit the Investor Class while further impoverishing the pesky Middle Class, rendering them less prone to protest (because they’re so busy working trying to pay off their debt). It’ll create stagflation for at least the next half decade, which can be blamed on Democrats who currently control Congress and, should Obama be elected, be blamed on him. [more]

The Middle Class Must Not Be Forced to Bail Out Wall Street Greed: Senator Bernie Sanders

The Middle Class Must Not Be Forced to Bail Out Wall Street Greed
by Senator Bernie Sanders

For years, as a member of the House Banking Committee and now as a member of the Senate Budget Committee, I have heard the Bush administration tell us how “robust” our economy was and how strong the “fundamentals” were. That was until a few days ago. Now, we are being told that if Congress does not act immediately and approve the $700 billion Wall Street bailout proposal these “free marketers” have just written up, there will be an unprecedented economic meltdown in the United States and an unraveling of the global economy. [more]